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EV Battery Price Collapse to $115/kWh: Margin Optimization, Supply Chain Winners & Future Cost Curves (2025–2030)

Former Electric Vehicle Systems Integrator
Tesla
EV Battery Pricing
Supply Chain Strategy
US
Europe
China

$ 1430

September 2025

Transcript Summary

EV battery pack prices are on a historic downward trajectory, projected to fall to $115/kWh by 2030, down from $160/kWh in 2025, representing a 7–8% CAGR decline. This price compression is driven by economies of scale, improved cell chemistries, and vertical integration in the supply chain. Leading manufacturers in the U.S., China, and Europe are optimizing production through high-nickel cathodes, silicon-dominant anodes, and automation, reducing raw material costs by 20–25%.

Lower battery prices are significantly improving EV gross margins, enabling OEMs to maintain profitability even at reduced vehicle prices. For mid-size electric cars, cost savings translate to $4,000–$5,500 reduction per vehicle, improving adoption rates across mass-market segments. Supply chain winners are those securing long-term lithium, nickel, and cobalt contracts, or investing in recycling initiatives that offset volatility. Future cost curves indicate pack prices could reach $100/kWh in select high-volume facilities, reinforcing the trend toward affordable EVs by 2035

The collapse in battery prices is no longer theoretical it is reshaping EV economics, accelerating adoption, and rewarding vertically integrated manufacturers and agile supply chain operators.


5 Key Quantitative Takeaways (2025–2035, EV Batteries):

  • Price decline: $160/kWh → $115/kWh
  • CAGR decline: 7–8%
  • Raw material cost reduction: 20–25%
  • Vehicle cost savings: $4,000–$5,500 per mid-size EV
  • Future pack price potential: $100/kWh in high-volume facilities

Download the full report to explore margin optimization, supply chain strategies, and future cost curves for EV batteries globally.

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Report Keywords

  • EV battery price $115/kWh
  • EV pack cost reduction
  • High-nickel cathode EV batteries
  • Silicon anode battery technology
  • EV supply chain winners
  • Battery margin optimization
  • Lithium nickel cobalt contracts
  • EV adoption cost impact
  • Vertical integration EV manufacturing
  • Mass-market EV economics
  • Future EV battery cost curves
  • Affordable electric vehicles 2030

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Singapore
68 Circular Road, #02-01
049422, Singapore
Jakarta

Revenue Tower, Scbd, Jakarta 12190, Indonesia
Mumbai
4th Floor, Pinnacle Business Park, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093
Bangalore

Cinnabar Hills, Embassy Golf Links Business Park, Bengaluru, Karnataka 560071
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Get in touch with us to learn more about our services, ask for assistance with a technical difficulty, or if you would like a product demo.
info@nextyn.com
Singapore
68 Circular Road, #02-01
049422, Singapore
Jakarta

Revenue Tower, Scbd, Jakarta 12190, Indonesia
Mumbai
4th Floor, Pinnacle Business Park, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093
Bangalore

Cinnabar Hills, Embassy Golf Links Business Park, Bengaluru, Karnataka 560071
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