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Carbon Markets Post-2025: Credit Pricing Volatility, MRV Tech & Corporate Offset Demand

Former Managing Editor - Global Emissions Markets
S&P Global
Carbon Markets
Corporate Offset Demand
USA
Europe

$ 795

September 2025

Transcript Summary

As global carbon markets mature, 2025 marks a pivotal inflection point with voluntary and compliance markets poised to surpass $90 billion in combined value. Yet, the volatility in pricing remains stark: voluntary carbon credits (VCCs) fluctuated from $15/ton to $80/ton between 2021 and 2024, driven by concerns around credit quality, permanence, and double counting. Meanwhile, EU ETS prices have stabilized around €75–€85/ton, while California’s cap-and-trade sits closer to $36–$42/ton, underscoring the regional variance in pricing frameworks.

The ICVCM (Integrity Council for the Voluntary Carbon Market) and Article 6.2 rules under the Paris Agreement are now enforcing stricter standards, pushing developers toward high-quality, verifiable offsets. Credits tied to tech-based removals like Direct Air Capture (DAC) and biochar command 3–5x price premiums over nature-based solutions, but face limited scalability. Meanwhile, corporates are tightening offset strategies with 72% of S&P 500 sustainability reports in 2024 now referencing “insetting” or internal decarbonization targets before offsetting.

Carbon trading is shifting from a credibility gap to a compliance-ready future, where transparency, traceability, and co-benefits will define pricing power.

  5 Key Insights:

  • Global carbon market value to exceed $90B+ in 2025
  • VCC pricing fluctuates from $15 to $80/ton
  • EU ETS stable at €75–€85/ton, California at $36–$42/ton
  • Tech-based offsets command 3–5x premiums
  • 72% of S&P 500 firms now prioritize internal decarbonization

Download the full report to uncover market forecasts, regulatory frameworks, and monetization strategies in carbon pricing.(2025-2030)

Download Sample Transcript

Report Keywords

  • Carbon markets 2025
  • Voluntary carbon credits price
  • EU ETS carbon price trend
  • Article 6.2 Paris Agreement
  • High-quality carbon offsets
  • DAC carbon removal economics
  • Carbon credit volatility
  • Tech vs nature carbon credits
  • Insetting vs offsetting
  • Carbon pricing regulation
  • Carbon market size forecast
  • Compliance carbon trading

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Singapore
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Cinnabar Hills, Embassy Golf Links Business Park, Bengaluru, Karnataka 560071
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