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Battery Recycling Economics: Recovery Rates, Cost Curves & Policy Levers (U.S. & EU Focus)

Former Associate Manager
Tesla
Battery Recycling
USA
Europe

$ 795

August 2025

Report Summary

With global EV sales accelerating past 15 million units in 2024, the surge in lithium-ion battery waste is creating both an environmental challenge and an economic opportunity. By 2030, battery waste is projected to hit 1.3 million tons/year globally, with the U.S. and Europe accounting for nearly 48% of this volume. This has spurred aggressive investment in battery recycling infrastructure, with Li-Cycle (U.S.), Redwood Materials (U.S.), and ACCUREC (Germany) scaling capacity by over 5x since 2021.

Newer hydrometallurgical and direct recycling methods now offer 90–95% recovery rates for lithium, cobalt, and nickel, up from 60–70% a decade ago. Capital expenditure per unit recovered has declined by 15–18% year-over-year, bringing average project breakeven down to 7–8 years. In the EU, the updated Battery Regulation mandates a minimum of 50% recycled content in new batteries by 2030, while the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act offers up to $45/kWh in tax credits for recycled battery materials used in domestic manufacturing.

Policy support is catalyzing industrial-scale recycling hubs, particularly near EV gigafactories. In parallel, OEMs are integrating “design for disassembly” features to reduce end-of-life processing costs. The recycling value chain from collection to processing to reintegration is now seen as a critical pillar in battery supply chain security, with over $12 billion committed globally in 2023–24.

   5 Key Quantitative Insights

  1. 1.3M tons/year global EV battery waste expected by 2030

  2. 90–95% metal recovery rates now achieved in modern recycling methods

  3. CapEx/unit falling 15–18% YoY, reducing breakeven to 7–8 years

  4. EU requires 50% recycled content in batteries by 2030

  5. $45/kWh U.S. tax credits available for recycled material inclusion


Download the full report to explore ROI benchmarks, policy impacts, and recovery tech trends shaping the battery recycling ecosystem.

Report Keywords

  • EV battery recycling economics

  • Lithium recovery rates

  • Battery recycling cost curves

  • EU battery regulation 2030

  • Battery waste volumes forecast

  • Tax credit for recycled batteries

  • Direct vs hydro battery recycling

  • Battery supply chain sustainability

  • Recycling breakeven analysis

  • Design for disassembly EV

  • U.S. battery recycling incentives

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Singapore
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Jakarta

Revenue Tower, Scbd, Jakarta 12190, Indonesia
Mumbai
4th Floor, Pinnacle Business Park, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093
Bangalore

Cinnabar Hills, Embassy Golf Links Business Park, Bengaluru, Karnataka 560071
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info@nextyn.com
Singapore
68 Circular Road, #02-01
049422, Singapore
Jakarta

Revenue Tower, Scbd, Jakarta 12190, Indonesia
Mumbai
4th Floor, Pinnacle Business Park, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093
Bangalore

Cinnabar Hills, Embassy Golf Links Business Park, Bengaluru, Karnataka 560071
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